Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.074559 0.083439 0.092577 0.102654 0.113430 0.124582 0.136971
2025-02-16 0.056898 0.069714 0.083655 0.099818 0.117919 0.137447 0.159989
2025-02-23 0.048734 0.064551 0.082573 0.104317 0.129540 0.157592 0.190866
2025-03-02 0.042512 0.060437 0.081719 0.108281 0.139993 0.176128 0.219902
2025-03-09 0.034739 0.053276 0.076251 0.105919 0.142349 0.184824 0.237293
2025-03-16 0.028167 0.046702 0.070687 0.102692 0.143037 0.191073 0.251457
2025-03-23 0.025500 0.044928 0.070907 0.106421 0.152042 0.207163 0.277292
2025-03-30 0.022764 0.042681 0.070206 0.108729 0.159110 0.220830 0.300235
2025-04-06 0.020863 0.041391 0.070603 0.112330 0.167742 0.236413 0.325581
2025-04-13 0.018107 0.038453 0.068425 0.112253 0.171465 0.245790 0.343284
2025-04-20 0.017682 0.039128 0.071377 0.119180 0.184399 0.266861 0.375641
2025-04-27 0.015421 0.036518 0.069314 0.118985 0.187796 0.275773 0.392838
2025-05-04 0.013733 0.034802 0.068635 0.120935 0.194432 0.289370 0.416701
2025-05-11 0.011587 0.031991 0.066091 0.120111 0.197308 0.298218 0.434789
2025-05-18 0.011058 0.032133 0.068183 0.126094 0.209631 0.319549 0.469054
2025-05-25 0.010357 0.031834 0.069509 0.130929 0.220401 0.338935 0.500987
2025-06-01 0.008473 0.028805 0.066075 0.128378 0.220638 0.344255 0.514683
2025-06-08 0.006708 0.025646 0.062116 0.124758 0.219148 0.347120 0.525094
2025-06-15 0.006255 0.025408 0.063213 0.129013 0.228992 0.365301 0.555646
2025-06-22 0.005635 0.024650 0.063306 0.131639 0.236473 0.380321 0.582136
2025-06-29 0.005247 0.024410 0.064312 0.135724 0.246119 0.398360 0.612729
2025-07-06 0.004444 0.022888 0.062802 0.135638 0.249569 0.407906 0.632104
2025-07-13 0.004518 0.023852 0.066077 0.143477 0.264880 0.433901 0.673533